Public summary manuscript
When regulation kills growth: Summary for Davos
21 January 2026
Increasing returns, minimum viable labor scale and stationary outcomes. An earlier, separately titled manuscript in the same research programme.
Research and writing
From the collective behavior of neural networks to the economics of growth. Research, working papers and authored arguments, with their collaborators and original publications.
A study of scale and growth
Extinction and Escape under Increasing Returns
July 2026 · Working paper
The paper separates the scale needed to sustain capital, the conditions needed to meet required returns, and the starting points from which growth is optimal.
Explore the paper
Research and publications
When can an economy sustain itself, and when should it expand?
Public summary manuscript
21 January 2026
Increasing returns, minimum viable labor scale and stationary outcomes. An earlier, separately titled manuscript in the same research programme.
Prices, exchange rates and the behavior of international financial markets.
Doctoral dissertation
Harvard University, 2006
Doctoral research in international economics and finance, supervised by Kenneth S. Rogoff.
Working paper and preserved slides
Harvard, 22 September 2004
Purchasing power parity asks how exchange rates relate to differences in prices between countries. With Jan Szilagyi, I examined how sectors and small samples can bias estimates of the speed of exchange rate adjustment. A dated 26 slide excerpt survives in university course materials.
My early physics work studied collective behavior, memory and mathematical methods for systems that evolve with randomness.
Journal article
Physica A 241(3–4), 481–492 (1997) · DOI: 10.1016/S0378-4371(97)00178-7
What can a network do before it has been trained? We studied fully connected artificial neurons with randomly assigned couplings and thresholds. As the model’s parameters change, it shifts from one stable outcome to two possible stable outcomes. The analysis connects collective neural behavior with phase transitions in statistical physics.
Journal article
Physical Review E 54(1), 86–91 (1996) · DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.54.86
A change of variables can turn a difficult random process into a simpler problem. We explored transformations of space and time within the path integral method, using strongly damped motion in a changing harmonic potential as the worked example.
Physics thesis
Instituto Balseiro, 1994
My physics thesis studied how neural networks store sequences and how their statistical properties arise from their many interacting parts. Supervised by Enrique Miranda and Damián Zanette at Instituto Balseiro.
Authored writing
Siderian · August 2026
The founding argument for Siderian: coordinating demand, suppliers, finance, design continuity and governance to support repeated nuclear deployment.
Original in EnglishClarín · December 20, 2025
Real options, decision thresholds and review conditions in choices made under uncertainty.
Original in SpanishClarín / Clarín 80 · November 9, 2025
A Clarín80 contribution connecting computing infrastructure, energy supply and Argentina’s technological development.
Original in SpanishTN · March 4, 2022
How Western financial sanctions operate after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, including payment systems and central bank reserves.
Original in SpanishCentral Bank of Argentina · May 19, 2018
The G20 agenda for connecting infrastructure projects with institutional capital through standardization, information and financing.
Original in EnglishCorrespondence